The biggest question in the NBA is not, "Who's going to win the championship?'' but rather, "Who's going to get LeBron James?" Speculation swirls daily, rumors fly regularly, but the fact is, no one (perhaps not even James) knows what city he'll call home next season. But there is speculation and then there's informed speculation; there's guessing and then there's educated guessing. So after speaking with several folks around the league, here are our top five likeliest destinations for LeBron. Despite Mark Cuban's open courting of LeBron, we purposely omitted sign-and-trade possibilities, because for the Cavaliers that's either the ultimate last resort or no option at all. In the unlikely event the Cavs open themselves up to a sign-and-trade, then Dallas, Houston and perhaps the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers could enter the discussion. But the Cavs know there would be no way to bring back equal value in a sign-and-trade, and they'd kill their future cap flexibility in the process. With that in mind, here are the five likeliest destinations for LeBron. Sorry, Clippers fans, you didn't make the cut. As usual.
5. Miami Heat
WHY -- James and Dwyane Wade would form the league's most formidable perimeter tandem since Jordan and Pippen. Heat prez Pat Riley is a master architect, capable of putting the right pieces around the superstar duo. Sun, fun and South Beach. 'Nuff said.
WHY NOT -- After James and Wade, the Heat would, at least next year, have hardly anything of note. Heat fans aren't exactly raucous, typically waiting until the second quarter to show up and fill in the lower bowl of American Airlines Arena. And do James and Wade, two of the league's three biggest stars, want to share the spotlight? Winning titles in Miami would perhaps open James up to arguments that he couldn't win a ring without Wade.
4. New York Knicks
WHY -- The Knicks have enough cap room to add James and another max-salaried free agent such as Chris Bosh, Amare Stoudemire or Joe Johnson. Danilo Gallinari is a sharp-shooter who would play well off James, and James' numbers would be otherworldly in Mike D'Antoni's offense. James loves the limelight and the lights don't get any brighter than those at Madison Square Garden, where he'd play before a host of celebrities every night. Bringing the Knicks their first title in nearly 40 years would make James a hero of the highest order, and some say he can only maximize his off-the-court financial potential in the Big Apple.
WHY NOT -- There's no guarantee Bosh, Stoudemire or any other big-name free agent would want to follow James to New York as his sidekick. Those cats have egos, too. Even landing two max-quality free agents doesn't guarantee greatness for the Knicks, because the club won't have much money left to pay their still-to-be-acquired supporting cast. The media glare will not only be focused on James but on his family and friends, who don't want to read about themselves on Page Six of the New York Post. Owner James Dolan also hasn't exactly proved himself to be a builder of champions, a la Jerry Buss, and if James doesn't win a ring in New York, his failure will be magnified, thereby damaging his legacy.
3. New Jersey Nets
WHY -- Despite their horrible 12-70 mark this season, the Nets have a supporting cast that would fit nicely around James. Brook Lopez would perhaps be the best center James has played with, and Devin Harris is an All-Star talent at point guard. Courtney Lee, Chris Douglas-Roberts, Yi Jianlian and Terrence Williams would all improve next to LeBron, as would whomever the Nets draft with the third overall pick. Plus, New Jersey has the cap room to add another talented player along with James. Billionaire owner Mikhail Prokhorov is poised to spend whatever it takes to get James and the Nets a title. And in two years, the Nets will be in Brooklyn, where LeBron's buddy and minority Nets owner, Jay-Z, is from.
WHY NOT -- Despite their talent, the Nets' players haven't displayed a winner's mentality. They should have won far more than 12 games, yet they gave in and underachieved. Are they a collection of losers? Plus, the team will play in Newark the next two years before heading to Brooklyn. Does King James really want to be in limbo for the next two seasons? Leaving Cleveland for another club would double the already-immense pressure on James to win a title, and while Prokhorov is a big spender, unlike baseball, you can't just buy a championship in the NBA. Finally, as the league's longtime version of "Clippers-East,'' are the Nets fit for a King?
2. Cleveland Cavaliers
WHY -- LeBron loves his hometown of Akron and, by extension, Cleveland. His family, friends and ultra-palatial home are in the area. He can be a normal person there, going to local restaurants and stores without being bombarded by fans and media. Basketball-wise, Cleveland is set to be a title contender for the next several years and, with a few roster tweaks, the Cavs could win a championship. He's also comfortable within the organization, which has gone out of its way to please him for the past seven years. Leaving the Cavaliers ring-less is, on some level, to leave in failure, but there is that extra $30 million the Cavs can pay (Cleveland is allowed to spend more than anyone else to re-sign its own player).
WHY NOT -- The Cavaliers don't have the cap space and don't appear to have the trade bait to land a true second star for LeBron. Antawn Jamison is very good, but he's not a perennial All-Star, and Mo Williams has struggled in two straight postseasons. While staying in Cleveland would be a feel-good story, it could potentially cost James a title.
1. Chicago Bulls
WHY -- Of all the clubs with max cap space, the Bulls have the most talent to put around James. He's never had a teammate the caliber of Derrick Rose, and Joakim Noah is an amped-up, more skilled version of Anderson Varejao (not to mention one of the best rebounders and shot-blockers in the game). The positions are a bit different, but could that trio become reminiscent of Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen and Dennis Rodman? The Bulls also have other solid players who might be able to fetch another star-caliber talent in a sign-and-trade. The city of Chicago isn't not New York, but it's not Cleveland either. The Chi would give LeBron a nice mix of big city excitement and suburban peace.
WHY NOT -- The Bulls don't have the pieces to entice Cleveland into a sign-and-trade deal without giving up Rose and Noah, who are major reasons James would consider playing in Chicago. That means -- barring a three-team sign-and-trade -- that James would have to leave nearly $30 million on the table to move from the Cavs to the Bulls. And playing in The House that Mike Built would perhaps prevent LeBron from one day being recognized as the greatest player of all time.
_________________ spanky wrote: Elmhurst Steve wrote: In the grand SCEME (not scope, Dumbass) pf things Awesome.
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